At the Paris Motor Show, BMW CEO Harald Krueger said a higher reduction of CO2 emissions foreseen in Europe is simply unattainable.
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“Hoping to reduce CO2 emission by 45 percent by 2030 is dreaming. It is just not possible,” Krueger said.
Last week, European Union lawmakers voted to impose a slightly lower CO2 limit of 40 percent by 2030, stricter than initial proposals of 30 percent.
“To get to a 45 percent CO2 reduction, we would need 70 percent of European sales being battery-powered vehicles, and the power infrastructure simply would not be able to handle it,” Krueger said.
A 30 percent reduction is the “maximum stretch” the industry could manage, he said.
Krueger said that BMW will continue its electrification process with 25 vehicles by 2025 and a between 15 to 25 percent of the sales being of those electrified models. By 2020, 20 models will be plug-in hybrids. The iX3, i4, iNEXT and MINI E are four of the already known full EVs to be delivered by 2021.
BMW is on target to sell 140,000 electrified vehicles this year, Krueger said. The automaker reached 100,000 sales through September, the same volume it sold in all of 2017.
[Source: Automotive News]
Says Krüger, being dragged kicking and screaming into the future.
Where apparently you are typing from, ICE sold record 80+ million units in 2017, vs. 3 million electric.
The S curve means he’s wrong.
Who, what curve & wrong about what?
Krüger is dreaming if he thinks BMW can sell even 30% fossil cars by 2030. High-capacity solid-state batteries will be mainstream before then, EVs will be cheaper to buy, cheaper to fuel, cheaper to maintain, and outperform fossil cars. Some countries/cities have already decided to ban fossil cars by 2030, and others by 2040. And his assertion that the diesel engines he loves will live on is insane (given their very dangerous nitrates and particulates emissions).
Yes, 2030 is 12 years of battery improvement and production growth.
Until there’s a drought of precious metals or unlimited cheap electricity. Then it’s ’70’s OPEC gas crisis all over again. But green.
The shift towards EV is not just a shift of engines, but a shift of the whole automotive production, the whole industry. For BMW and other European car manufacturers this will be a very expensive change, so expensive that they might not survive it… but if they won’t change, they will not survive either because the rest of the world, especially china, will crush them.
Did you even read what he said?
“To get to a 45 percent CO2 reduction, we would need 70 percent of European sales being battery-powered vehicles, and the power infrastructure simply would not be able to handle it,” Krueger said.
It’s not just about the batteries, or Tesla, or the Chinese it’s as well about the European power infrastructure! That is not yet equipped to handle full renewable power grids the infrastructure to constantly charge millions of cars, trucks and busses.
The US has heard this myth too.
Charging at night, problem solved.
Yes, because blackouts on an overtaxed grid don’t happen @ night & don’t last hours. Or days.
Sure I read it. Doesn’t mean it’s true. Because it’s not.
This is 2018, not 2030. To say it can’t happen in 2030 because of a
condition that might exist in 2018 is folly. And most EV charging is
done at night, when the electric load is low. The experts in the field
don’t think there will be a problem. Renewable electric capacity grows
significantly every year.
Krüger will make any argument, however specious, to sway European regulators to let him keep
building his precious oil-burners forever. His decision after coming
into power to shut down further EV development at BMW has greatly harmed
BMW’s future market position. Hopefully the Board will replace him
with someone who has a more progressive outlook before he bankrupts the
company.
2022 not 2030 is the end of the civilization as we know it.
If by shutting down further EV development you mean selling record #s while building new factories for announced future BEV, and if by greatly harmed BMW’s future market position you mean their announced 50% increase in volume & pursuit of #1 in China, neither of which will happen without electric.
Exactly. If he thinks he’ll be selling any gas engine cars in 2030 he’s mistaken and should step down.
To be immediately hired by a competitor.
There’s an awful lot that needs to happen in 12 years for this to be anything like achievable, quite a bit of it is out of the hands of the car manufacturers. If it relies on EVs to accomplish these targets far more needs to be done to make owning an EV more practical. Widespread Rapid charging is IMHO key.
As for infrastructure, again 12 years is a pretty short amount of time to get ready for a 30% increase in energy demand, especially as there is currently not the demand to warrant it.
I live in Canada, our grid already has killer blackouts during extreme weather. Thought I read years ago personal devices will test grid limits, let alone electrifying vehicles. I know it has to happen, but current standards have already put several manufacturers on a production hold.
Look at Norway. We’re surely doing fine with the expansion of Evs… These are just lazy excuses that iron themselves out as we move along. Most EVs will charge during off-peak ours (and already do). It’s not like the grid aren’t being upgraded.
Norway’s population is less than London alone, and it’s population density is 100 times less than London. Oddly, the energy consumption is as much as half what we use here in the UK. And you have a Tenth of the number of cars.
My point is just because it’s been easy in Norway, doesn’t mean it’s going to be easy everywhere. If you think what your country has done scales linearly to all other countries then I think you’re wrong.
Experts agree with me. There’s is no reason to resist EVs for this reason. Make solutions, not excuses.
Need to get Trump over there to clean up those self serving, unaccountable EU deep state bureaucrats before they destroy the auto industry forever.
BTW, note to BMW.
Just move all your vehicle production to the US.
It’ll be great.
The electricity providers will also up their game to make their grids handle all of this. It’s not like this will be a shift only for automakers, it will be lots of industries. Times have changed, I am personally tired of paying for the ever increasing petrol prices.
Bullshit. Somebody throw Krueger in the garbage bin.